- 32 °F19 percent cloud cover
- 32 °F70 percent cloud cover
Northern Lights Forecast for Fairbanks
Fairbanks, Alaska, United States
64°50′16.1″N ⋅ 147°42′59.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Can you see the Northern Lights in Fairbanks tonight?
Aurora activity is expected to be low between 4 PM and 2 AM in Fairbanks tonight. Sky will be dark from 8:13 PM to 6:57 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks mostly cloudy at 15% to 100%. Low activity and cloud cover together may make the aurora difficult to spot.
Can you see the Northern Lights in Fairbanks tonight?
Aurora activity is expected to be low between 4 PM and 2 AM in Fairbanks tonight. Sky will be dark from 8:13 PM to 6:57 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks mostly cloudy at 15% to 100%. Low activity and cloud cover together may make the aurora difficult to spot.
Aurora Forecast for Fairbanks, AK
Hourly aurora forecast for Fairbanks
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3-Night Weather Forecast for Fairbanks, AK
- 35 °F100 percent cloud cover
- 34 °F63 percent cloud cover
- 31 °F16 percent cloud cover
- 30 °F100 percent cloud cover
- 28 °F97 percent cloud cover
- 27 °F96 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Fairbanks, AK
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, October 15, 2026. Today. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 22% illumination | Friday, October 16, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 30% illumination | Saturday, October 17, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. First quarter, 39% illumination | Sunday, October 18, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. First quarter, 48% illumination | |||
Monday, October 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. First quarter, 58% illumination | Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. First quarter, 67% illumination | Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 76% illumination | Thursday, October 22, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 84% illumination | Friday, October 23, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 91% illumination | Saturday, October 24, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 96% illumination | Sunday, October 25, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination |
Monday, October 26, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination | Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 92% illumination | Thursday, October 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 85% illumination | Friday, October 30, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 76% illumination | Saturday, October 31, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Last quarter, 65% illumination | Sunday, November 1, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Last quarter, 54% illumination |
Monday, November 2, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 43% illumination | Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Last quarter, 32% illumination | Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Waning crescent, 23% illumination | Thursday, November 5, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 2 out of 10. Waning crescent, 14% illumination | Friday, November 6, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning crescent, 8% illumination | Saturday, November 7, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Sunday, November 8, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination |
Monday, November 9, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 2% illumination | Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 5% illumination |
Northern Lights in Fairbanks
Fairbanks sits at 64.8°N in the middle of Alaska, a city of about 32,500 people. It is far from the coast, so the climate is dry, winter nights are often clear, and the aurora often sits overhead rather than low on the northern horizon. The Geophysical Institute at the University of Alaska Fairbanks puts the local season at roughly August 21 to April 21 and says 9 PM to 3 AM covers most strong displays, with the hours around midnight likeliest. Trips to Chena Hot Springs and Coldfoot both start here.
Murphy Dome, Cleary Summit and Ester Dome
Most people drive 20 to 40 minutes out, and three hills are the usual choices:
- Murphy Dome. 25 miles by road, west-northwest of town, and at about 2,900 ft the highest point close to Fairbanks. The last five miles of Murphy Dome Road are dirt and gravel; four-wheel drive is advised in midwinter.
- Cleary Summit. Mile 20 of the Steese Highway, north past Fox, at 2,233 ft. Plowed pull-outs at miles 16.6 (the Felix Pedro monument), 17, 19 and 20; headlights off once parked, other people are shooting.
- Ester Dome. The 2,364 ft hill just west of town. Park only in plowed pull-outs; the shoulder snow will hold a car until morning.
Creamer’s Field, Chena Lake and Chena Hot Springs Road
On the flat ground, Creamer’s Field is the waterfowl refuge on the north side of town, 2 miles from downtown, with open fields and short winter trails. Chena Lake Recreation Area is 17 miles southeast off the Richardson Highway, just past North Pole, and in early fall the aurora reflects in the lake before it freezes.
Chena Hot Springs Road is paved to the end, with turnouts at miles 25, 35 and 37; from mile 26 it runs through Chena River State Recreation Area. Watch for moose.
Ice fog under the Tanana Valley inversion
The January daily mean is −8°F, it reaches −40 on about seven days in an average year, and the record is −66°F. In the deepest cold, ice fog forms over the city under the inversion and can hide the sky.
The Museum of the North and the World Ice Art Championships
At the University of Alaska Museum of the North on campus, the room The Place Where You Go to Listen, by composer John Luther Adams, turns live Geophysical Institute data, aurora included, into sound and light. The World Ice Art Championships run from mid-February into late March at the Tanana Valley State Fairgrounds.
The Aurora Winter Train and the drive south
By road Fairbanks is 120 miles north of Denali and about 360 miles from Anchorage on the Parks Highway. The Alaska Railroad’s Aurora Winter Train runs on weekends from mid-September to mid-May, north on Saturday and back on Sunday, about 12 hours each way via Talkeetna and Healy.
FAQ
When is the aurora season in Fairbanks?
Roughly August 21 to April 21, the dates both the University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute and Explore Fairbanks use. Outside that window the summer sky never gets dark enough. The Geophysical Institute advises against the last days of April and the first of August, when twilight still lingers.
On any given night, the hours around midnight are the likeliest, and 9 PM to 3 AM covers most strong displays.
Can you see the northern lights from downtown Fairbanks?
Yes, on an active night. Explore Fairbanks says the lights can be seen from anywhere in town, and Creamer's Field, 2 miles from downtown, gives you open fields without a long drive. Fainter displays get lost in the streetlights, which is why the usual advice is 20 to 40 minutes out to Cleary Summit, Murphy Dome or Chena Lake.
How many nights do I need in Fairbanks to see the northern lights?
Explore Fairbanks says that visitors who stay three nights or more during aurora season and are out in the late evening have more than a 90% chance of seeing the aurora. The limiting factor is usually cloud rather than activity. Fairbanks is inland and dry, so clear nights are common, but a run of overcast days does happen, and extra nights are the only insurance.
How cold is Fairbanks during aurora season?
Very. The January daily mean is −8°F, it reaches −40 on about seven days in a typical year, and the record is −66°F. September and late March are much milder and still dark enough.
The cold matters for the aurora in one specific way: in the deepest spells, ice fog forms over the city in the valley inversion and can hide the sky.
Do I need a car to see the northern lights in Fairbanks?
Not necessarily. Guided aurora tours from Fairbanks go to Murphy Dome, Cleary Summit and Chena Hot Springs, and overnight trips run up the Dalton Highway to Coldfoot. With a car you can pick your night and your spot, but in midwinter the roads to Murphy Dome and Cleary Summit have sharp turns and steep grades, and four-wheel drive is advised.
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Fairbanks?
In Fairbanks, you usually need at least Kp 1 to have a reasonable chance of seeing the northern lights. Lower Kp can still bring a faint aurora display low on the northern horizon, but it is less common.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is around 1.7. That is around the usual Kp index threshold for Fairbanks, so you might have a chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear and dark.