Tonight
May 21 - May 22
- 3 °C
98 percent cloud cover - 1 °C
98 percent cloud cover - 2 °C
35 percent cloud cover
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Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 9 PM and 1 AM in Churchill tonight. Cloud cover around that time looks overcast at 65% to 100%. There may be good aurora activity overhead, but thick cloud could block the view.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Today at 4:00 PM
Low Activity
Cloud Cover:38%
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
| Local time | Aurora activity |
|---|---|
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| No activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity |
3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
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Tomorrow night
May 22 - May 23
- 9 °C
0 percent cloud cover - 4 °C
0 percent cloud cover - 3 °C0 percent cloud cover
Saturday night
May 23 - May 24
- 9 °C81 percent cloud cover
- 5 °C5 percent cloud cover
- 4 °C
21 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
Sunset
Sunrise
Current Moon
First Quarter
32% illumination
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, May 21, 2026. Today. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 29% illumination | Friday, May 22, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. First quarter, 40% illumination | Saturday, May 23, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. First quarter, 50% illumination | Sunday, May 24, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 61% illumination | |||
Monday, May 25, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 71% illumination | Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 79% illumination | Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 87% illumination | Thursday, May 28, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 93% illumination | Friday, May 29, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination | Saturday, May 30, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination | Sunday, May 31, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination |
Monday, June 1, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination | Tuesday, June 2, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 96% illumination | Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 91% illumination | Thursday, June 4, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 85% illumination | Friday, June 5, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 78% illumination | Saturday, June 6, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 69% illumination | Sunday, June 7, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 60% illumination |
Monday, June 8, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 49% illumination | Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 39% illumination | Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 28% illumination | Thursday, June 11, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Waning crescent, 19% illumination | Friday, June 12, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Waning crescent, 10% illumination | Saturday, June 13, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning crescent, 4% illumination | Sunday, June 14, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination |
Monday, June 15, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 8% illumination |
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Churchill Aurora Guide
Churchill is situated in Canada's Manitoba area. Because it sits at 58.8°, seeing the aurora borealis here requires a fairly strong geomagnetic storm. Keep a close eye on space weather forecasts and be ready to travel to darker skies if a severe storm hits.
When to see the northern lights in Churchill
While auroras are driven by solar storms rather than seasons, you still need dark skies. In Churchill, your best chances are during the darker months from October through February.
FAQ
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 1.3 to 2.7. You should have a good chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.