Tonight
Jul 9 - Jul 10
- 18 °C
4 percent cloud cover - 13 °C
17 percent cloud cover - 11 °C
13 percent cloud cover
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Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 7 PM and 5 AM in Churchill tonight. Cloud cover around that time looks clear skies at 0% to 20%. You should have a decent chance of seeing the aurora if skies stay this clear.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Today at 1:00 PM
Low Activity
Cloud Cover:0%
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
| Local time | Aurora activity |
|---|---|
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity |
3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
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Tomorrow night
Jul 10 - Jul 11
- 19 °C10 percent cloud cover
- 16 °C13 percent cloud cover
- 15 °C4 percent cloud cover
Saturday night
Jul 11 - Jul 12
- 24 °C
34 percent cloud cover - 18 °C35 percent cloud cover
- 17 °C
11 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
Sunset
Sunrise
Current Moon
Waning Crescent
30% illumination
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, July 9, 2026. Today. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 32% illumination | Friday, July 10, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waning crescent, 21% illumination | Saturday, July 11, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning crescent, 12% illumination | Sunday, July 12, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waning crescent, 6% illumination | |||
Monday, July 13, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination | Tuesday, July 14, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Wednesday, July 15, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 2% illumination | Thursday, July 16, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 6% illumination | Friday, July 17, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 13% illumination | Saturday, July 18, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 21% illumination | Sunday, July 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 31% illumination |
Monday, July 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 41% illumination | Tuesday, July 21, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 51% illumination | Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. First quarter, 60% illumination | Thursday, July 23, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 69% illumination | Friday, July 24, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 78% illumination | Saturday, July 25, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 85% illumination | Sunday, July 26, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 91% illumination |
Monday, July 27, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 96% illumination | Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination | Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Thursday, July 30, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination | Friday, July 31, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination | Saturday, August 1, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 92% illumination | Sunday, August 2, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 85% illumination |
Monday, August 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 77% illumination | Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Last quarter, 67% illumination | Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 57% illumination |
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Churchill Aurora Guide
Churchill is situated in Canada's Manitoba area. Because it sits at 58.8°, seeing the aurora borealis here requires a fairly strong geomagnetic storm. Keep a close eye on space weather forecasts and be ready to travel to darker skies if a severe storm hits.
When to see the northern lights in Churchill
While auroras are driven by solar storms rather than seasons, you still need dark skies. In Churchill, your best chances are during the darker months from October through February.
FAQ
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 2.6 to 3.8. You should have a good chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.