- 13 °C98 percent cloud cover
- 12 °C34 percent cloud cover
- 10 °C2 percent cloud cover
Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill
Churchill, Manitoba, Canada
58°46′6.2″N ⋅ 94°9′54.0″W
Aurora data last updated at
Current local time:
Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 7 PM and 7 AM in Churchill tonight. Sky will be dark from 10:16 PM to 4:21 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks mostly cloudy at 0% to 100%. You might see the aurora if the sky is not too cloudy at the right time.
Aurora Forecast for Churchill
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
| Local time | Aurora activity |
|---|---|
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| High Activity | |
| High Activity | |
| High Activity | |
| Moderate Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity | |
| Low Activity |
3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill
- 9 °C0 percent cloud cover
- 8 °C0 percent cloud cover
- 7 °C74 percent cloud cover
- 9 °C0 percent cloud cover
- 8 °C27 percent cloud cover
- 9 °C100 percent cloud cover
Sun & Moon
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Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Today. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination | Thursday, August 27, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Friday, August 28, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 8 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination | Saturday, August 29, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Full moon, 98% illumination | Sunday, August 30, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 94% illumination | ||
Monday, August 31, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 88% illumination | Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 80% illumination | Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 70% illumination | Thursday, September 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 60% illumination | Friday, September 4, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 48% illumination | Saturday, September 5, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Last quarter, 37% illumination | Sunday, September 6, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 26% illumination |
Monday, September 7, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 17% illumination | Tuesday, September 8, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 9% illumination | Wednesday, September 9, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination | Thursday, September 10, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination | Friday, September 11, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination | Saturday, September 12, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. New moon, 2% illumination | Sunday, September 13, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 6% illumination |
Monday, September 14, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 12% illumination | Tuesday, September 15, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 20% illumination | Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 28% illumination | Thursday, September 17, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 37% illumination | Friday, September 18, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 47% illumination | Saturday, September 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 56% illumination | Sunday, September 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 65% illumination |
Monday, September 21, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 74% illumination | Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 82% illumination |
Churchill Aurora Guide
Churchill is situated in Canada's Manitoba area. Because it sits at 58.8°, seeing the aurora borealis here requires a fairly strong geomagnetic storm. Keep a close eye on space weather forecasts and be ready to travel to darker skies if a severe storm hits.
When to see the northern lights in Churchill
While auroras are driven by solar storms rather than seasons, you still need dark skies. In Churchill, your best chances are during the darker months from October through February.
FAQ
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?
In Churchill, even quiet geomagnetic conditions can be enough for aurora overhead.
This is based on magnetic latitude, and Kp index is a global geomagnetic index, so treat it as a rule of thumb, not a location-specific guarantee.
Tonight, the NOAA Kp index forecast is 3 to 3.7. You should have a good chance of seeing the aurora if the sky is clear.