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Northern Lights Forecast for Churchill

Churchill, Manitoba, Canada

Can you see the Northern Lights in Churchill tonight?

Aurora activity is expected to be moderate between 9 PM and 2 AM in Churchill tonight. Sky will be dark from 7:36 PM to 6:26 AM local time. Cloud cover around that time looks partly cloudy at 20% to 70%. You might see the aurora if the sky is not too cloudy at the right time.

Aurora Forecast for Churchill

Today at 7:00 AM
Low Activity
Cloud Cover:98%
Aurora activity
High clouds
Middle clouds
Low clouds
Fog
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
Hourly aurora forecast for Churchill
Local time Aurora activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
No activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
Moderate Activity
Moderate Activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
No activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
Low Activity
Low Activity

3-Night Weather Forecast for Churchill

Tonight
Oct 14 - Oct 15
  1. Cloudy
    -1 °C
    100 percent cloud cover
Tomorrow night
Oct 15 - Oct 16
  1. Partly cloudy
    -0 °C
    61 percent cloud cover
  2. Partly cloudy
    -1 °C
    39 percent cloud cover
  3. Mostly clear
    -2 °C
    14 percent cloud cover
Friday night
Oct 16 - Oct 17
  1. Mostly clear
    -3 °C
    20 percent cloud cover
  2. Partly cloudy
    -4 °C
    46 percent cloud cover
  3. Cloudy
    -4 °C
    98 percent cloud cover

Sun & Moon

Sunset
Sunrise
Dark from 07:36 PM to 06:26 AM (10 h 50 min)
Current Moon
Waxing Crescent
21% illumination
6 AM 12 PM 6 PM

Long-Term Aurora Forecast for Churchill

Long-term aurora forecast calendar with daily aurora scores, moon phases, and activity levels.
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
Thursday, October 15, 2026. Today. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 22% illumination
Friday, October 16, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 30% illumination
Saturday, October 17, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 39% illumination
Sunday, October 18, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 48% illumination
Monday, October 19, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 58% illumination
Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. First quarter, 67% illumination
Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 76% illumination
Thursday, October 22, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 84% illumination
Friday, October 23, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. Waxing gibbous, 91% illumination
Saturday, October 24, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Full moon, 96% illumination
Sunday, October 25, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 99% illumination
Monday, October 26, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 100% illumination
Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Full moon, 97% illumination
Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 92% illumination
Thursday, October 29, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 85% illumination
Friday, October 30, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning gibbous, 76% illumination
Saturday, October 31, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Last quarter, 65% illumination
Sunday, November 1, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. Last quarter, 54% illumination
Monday, November 2, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Last quarter, 43% illumination
Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Last quarter, 32% illumination
Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 23% illumination
Thursday, November 5, 2026. Low aurora activity. Aurora score 3 out of 10. Waning crescent, 14% illumination
Friday, November 6, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. Waning crescent, 8% illumination
Saturday, November 7, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 5 out of 10. New moon, 3% illumination
Sunday, November 8, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. New moon, 1% illumination
Monday, November 9, 2026. High aurora activity. Aurora score 7 out of 10. New moon, 0% illumination
Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 6 out of 10. New moon, 2% illumination
Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Moderate aurora activity. Aurora score 4 out of 10. Waxing crescent, 5% illumination
LowAurora ActivityHigh

Northern Lights in Churchill

Churchill is a town of about 870 people on the west shore of Hudson Bay, at the mouth of the Churchill River in northern Manitoba. No road reaches it. It sits at only 58.8°N, but the geomagnetic pole lies over Ellesmere Island in Canada’s Arctic, so Churchill is much closer to it than its latitude suggests and gets aurora on quiet nights.

Belugas, then bears, then the aurora

Churchill has three visitor seasons. Thousands of beluga whales come into the river estuary in July and August. Polar bears gather on the coast in October and November, waiting for the bay to freeze. The aurora season is February and March, when the operators run their aurora programmes and the sky is at its clearest: the town averages 118 hours of sunshine in February and 178 in March, against 80 in January.

February averages −24 °C and March −18.6 °C. Hudson Bay is frozen by then, so from the shore the view north is a flat white plain.

The Northern Studies Centre on the old rocket range

The Churchill Northern Studies Centre is about 23 km east of town on the site of the old Churchill Rocket Research Range, inside the Churchill Wildlife Management Area. It has guest rooms and an indoor aurora dome, and runs its Winter Skies programme in February and March. The rest of the watching is done from heated tundra vehicles parked at the edge of the frozen river, or from the operators’ viewing domes.

Polar Bear Alert and walking after dark

Walking out to a dark spot is another matter. Parks Canada’s advice for Churchill is never to walk in dimly lit areas, to take a taxi after 10 p.m. in autumn if your group is three or fewer, and not to walk or cycle out of town in September, October or November. The same advice says not to lock your vehicle, because you may need to get back in quickly. Bears that come into town are hazed out by Polar Bear Alert staff, and repeat visitors go to the Polar Bear Holding Facility until the ice has formed and they can be released onto the bay. By the aurora months the bears are out on the ice, and December to July is the period of lowest risk.

Two nights on the train from Winnipeg

VIA Rail’s train from Winnipeg covers 1,710 km in about 45 hours. You can also drive to Thompson and board there. Calm Air flies from Winnipeg year round, about two hours in the air.

Itsanitaq Museum and Prince of Wales Fort

The Itsanitaq Museum, founded in 1944 as the Eskimo Museum, holds about 1,300 Inuit carvings, tools and boats. Prince of Wales Fort, the stone fort across the river mouth that surrendered to the French in 1782 without a shot, is reached by boat and closed outside the summer.

FAQ

Why does Churchill get the northern lights at such a low latitude?
Is it safe to go out at night in Churchill to watch the northern lights?
What is the Churchill Northern Studies Centre and can you stay there?
How do you get to Churchill for the northern lights?
What Kp index do I need to see the northern lights in Churchill?

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